News & Views: Potential Impact of Open Access Uptake Scenarios | Dan Pollock | Delta Think

"The open access market is fragmented. Different approaches at scale are being explored by stakeholders, from wholesale flipping to offsetting deals, from price caps to restrictions on using hybrid journals. Meanwhile, the real adoption of open access has been slow, reaching just 21% of output in 16 years and accounting for only 4-6% of scholarly journal publishing revenue. The market size for scholarly journals represents profit for some and cost for others. Below we look at market size (in terms of potential growth or reduction) as a measure of the effects of various approaches for all stakeholders...."