BBC News — French far-right 'at gates of power' - PM Manuel Valls

Not quite what is sounds like. In France, it is highly unlikely that any candidate wins a majority in the first round. The top candidates face off in the second round. Le Pen would beat Hollande in a second-round ballot, but she would best none of the other likely candidates if any of them placed ahead of Hollande in the first round, which is likely given his low favorability.

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Marine Le Pen Ahead of Hollande in France Presidential Poll; Le Pen Blames EU for Crisis in Ukraine Mike Mish Shedlock