Home Statistics and Visualization R-bloggers My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance

My poster for the 18th FINANCIAL RISKS INTERNATIONAL FORUM by Institut Louis Bachelier/Fondation du Risque/Europlace Institute of Finance

R-bloggers 2025-03-19

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More on that 4/20 road rage researcher: Dude could be a little less amused, a little more willing to realize he could be on the wrong track with a lot of his research.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2019/10/06/more-on-that-4-20-road-rage-dude/

R-bloggers 10/06/2019

sociology
Hey, I think something’s wrong with this graph! Free copy of Regression and Other Stories to the first commenter who comes up with a plausible innocent explanation of this one.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/05/18/hey-i-think-somethings-wrong-with-this-graph/

R-bloggers 05/18/2020

graphics
Four years ago we said that the New York Times was about to be in a lonely place. Now they are trying weasel out of it with scapegoating and revisionism

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/7988961601535938010/comments/default

R-bloggers 06/08/2020
Ground source heat pumps are "the most energy-efficient, environmentally clean, and cost-effective space conditioning systems available," but maybe we can get journalists to talk about them anyway.

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/4866198453892909204/comments/default

R-bloggers 11/12/2020
Are we constantly chasing after these population-level effects of these non-pharmaceutical interventions that are hard to isolate when there are many good reasons to believe in their efficacy in the first instance?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/12/06/are-we-constantly-chasing-after-these-population-level-effects-of-these-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-that-are-hard-to-isolate-when-there-are-many-good-reasons-to-believe-in-their-efficacy-in-the-f/

R-bloggers 12/06/2020

causal
“Maybe the better analogy is that these people are museum curators and we’re telling them that their precious collection of Leonardos, which they have been augmenting at a rate of about one per month, include some fakes.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/01/03/maybe-the-better-analogy-is-that-these-people-are-museum-curators-and-were-telling-them-that-their-precious-collection-of-leonardos-which-they-have-been-augmenting-at-a-rate-of-about-one-per-mont/

R-bloggers 01/03/2021

art
The “story time” is to lull us in with a randomized controlled experiment and as we fall asleep, feed us less reliable conclusions that come from an embedded observational study.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/02/04/the-story-time-is-to-lull-us-in-with-a-randomized-controlled-experiment-and-as-we-fall-asleep-feed-us-less-reliable-conclusions-that-come-from-an-embedded-observational-study/

R-bloggers 02/04/2021

causal
The nice thing about writing a post on tax increases is that you can dust it off in ten years later and be confident that most people still won't understand marginal tax rates.

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/6106114192075658897/comments/default

R-bloggers 05/21/2021
“While critique is certainly an important part of improving scientific fields, we do not want to set a precedent or encourage submission of articles that only critique the methods used by others.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/10/30/while-critique-is-certainly-an-important-part-of-improving-scientific-fields-we-do-not-want-to-set-a-precedent-or-encourage-submission-of-articles-that-only-critique-the-methods-used-by-others/

R-bloggers 10/30/2021

causal
“What, are you nuts? We don’t have time in AP Stats to explain to students what stats actually means. We have to just get them to grind through the computations.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/11/26/what-are-you-nuts-we-dont-have-time-in-ap-stats-to-explain-to-students-what-stats-actually-means-we-have-to-just-get-them-to-grind-through-the-computations/

R-bloggers 11/26/2021

miscellaneous
“Driving about 85 m.p.h. in a 45 m.p.h. zone on the winding Southern California road when he lost control of his SUV. . . . He was not charged with any legal violation.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/02/13/driving-about-85-m-p-h-in-a-45-m-p-h-zone-on-the-winding-southern-california-road-when-he-lost-control-of-his-suv-he-was-not-charged-with-any-legal-violation/

R-bloggers 02/13/2022

political
Former editor of British Medical Journal says we should “assume that the research is fraudulent until there is some evidence to support it having happened and been honestly reported”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/02/22/former-editor-of-british-medical-journal-says-we-should-assume-that-the-research-is-fraudulent-until-there-is-some-evidence-to-support-it-having-happened-and-been-honestly-reported/

R-bloggers 02/22/2022

zombies
Did Chinese laborers on the Yangtze pay someone to whip them? Why can’t political scientists and economists resist telling this evidence-free story? And why do they keep embellishing it?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/02/27/did-chinese-laborers-on-the-yangtze-pay-someone-to-whip-them-and-why-cant-political-scientists-and-economists-resist-telling-this-evidence-free-story/

R-bloggers 02/27/2022

economics
This blog is like a Masterclass except the production values are close to zero, it’s free, and we don’t claim that reading it will make you better at anything.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/06/25/theres-a-sucker-born-every-minute-new-yorker-version/

R-bloggers 06/25/2022

zombies
Ground source heat pumps are "the most energy-efficient, environmentally clean, and cost-effective space conditioning systems available," but maybe we can get journalists to talk about them anyway. [Repost]

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/2993029575060806351/comments/default

R-bloggers 09/07/2022
“You should always (always) have a Naive model. It’s the simplest, cleanest, most intuitive way to explain whether your system is at least treading water. And if it is (that’s a big IF), how much better than Naive is it.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/09/08/you-should-always-always-have-a-naive-model-its-the-simplest-cleanest-most-intuitive-way-to-explain-whether-your-system-is-at-least-treading-water-and-if-it-is-thats-a-big-if-how-much-b/

R-bloggers 09/08/2022

decision
(an issue raised by a recent failed-science story:) The distinction between research that could be valid but just happens to be wrong, and junk science that never had a chance

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/12/24/an-issue-raised-by-a-recent-fake-science-scandal-the-distinction-between-research-that-could-be-valid-but-just-happens-to-be-wrong-and-junk-science-that-never-had-a-chance/

R-bloggers 12/24/2022

miscellaneous
“Water is the most precious resource we have ... and yet we do everything we can, when it comes to rain, to get rid of it as soon as possible”

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/2478325503014164194/comments/default

R-bloggers 01/09/2023
There are five ways to get fired from Caesars: (1) theft, (2) sexual harassment, (3) running an experiment without a control group, (4) keeping a gambling addict away from the casino, (5) refusing to promote gambling to college students

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/01/19/there-are-five-ways-to-get-fired-from-caesars-1-theft-2-sexual-harassment-3-running-an-experiment-without-a-control-group-4-keeping-a-gambling-addict-away-from-the-casino-5-refusing-to/

R-bloggers 01/19/2023

economics
Maybe Paul Samuelson and his coauthors should’ve spent less time on dominance games and “boss moves” and more time actually looking out at the world that they were purportedly describing.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/05/27/being-mean-to-paul-samuelson/

R-bloggers 05/27/2023

economics
"It's amazing how strongly people feel about that. I talk about cutting taxes, people go like that, I talk about transgender everybody goes crazy. Five years ago you didn't know what the hell it was"

http://observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/feeds/3282997007416091794/comments/default

R-bloggers 06/18/2023
Frictionless reproducibility; methods as proto-algorithms; division of labor as a characteristic of statistical methods; statistics as the science of defaults; statisticians well prepared to think about issues raised by AI; and robustness to adversarial attacks

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/10/13/frictionless-reproducibility-methods-as-proto-algorithms-division-of-labor-as-a-characteristic-of-statistical-methods-statistics-as-the-science-of-defaults-statisticians-well-prepared-to-think-abo/

R-bloggers 10/13/2023

computing
Bayesians moving from defense to offense: “I really think it’s kind of irresponsible now not to use the information from all those thousands of medical trials that came before. Is that very radical?”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/12/23/bayesians-moving-from-defense-to-offense-i-really-think-its-kind-of-irresponsible-now-not-to-use-the-information-from-all-those-thousands-of-medical-trials-that-came-before-is-that-very/

R-bloggers 12/23/2023

bayesian
The appeal of New York Times columnist David Brooks . . . Yeah, I know this all sounds like a nutty “it’s wheels within wheels, man” sort of argument, but I’m serious here!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/01/10/the-appeal-of-new-york-times-columnist-david-brooks-yeah-i-know-this-all-sounds-like-a-nutty-its-wheels-within-wheels-man-sort-of-argument-but-im-serious-here/

R-bloggers 01/10/2024

health
“Participants reported being hungrier when they walked into the café (mean = 7.38, SD = 2.20) than when they walked out [mean = 1.53, SD = 2.70, F(1, 75) = 107.68, P < 0.001]."

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/02/02/participants-reported-being-hungrier-when-they-walked-into-the-cafe-mean-7-38-sd-2-20-than-when-they-walked-out-mean-1-53-sd-2-70-f1-75-107-68-p-0-001/

R-bloggers 02/02/2024

health