Home Statistics and Visualization Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science This looks like an excellent new business line for Wolfram Research!

This looks like an excellent new business line for Wolfram Research!

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2025-01-06

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They start out so friendly and they end up so bossy. What’s with that? (This is a job for Wolfram Research.)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/05/01/hey-you-cant-fool-me-im-a-freud-expert/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/01/2022

zombies
Journalists are suckers for anything that looks like science. And selection bias makes it even worse. But I was unfair to NPR.

http://andrewgelman.com/2016/05/03/im-all-out-of-clever/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/03/2016

zombies
“Figure 1 looks like random variation to me” . . . indeed, so it does. And Figure 2 as well! But statistical significance was found, so this bit of randomness was published in a top journal. Business as usual in the statistical-industrial complex. Still, I’d hope the BMJ could’ve done better.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/09/14/figure-1-looks-like-random-variation-to-me-indeed-so-it-does-and-figure-2-as-well-but-statistical-significance-was-found-so-this-bit-of-randomness-was-published-in-a-top-journal-busi/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/14/2020

zombies
I’m really getting tired of this sort of thing, and I don’t feel like scheduling it for September, so I’ll post it at 1 in the morning

http://andrewgelman.com/2016/05/06/im-really-getting-tired-of-this-sort-of-thing-and-i-dont-feel-like-scheduling-it-for-september-so-ill-post-it-at-1-in-the-morning-and-put-the-entire-post-under-the-fold/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/06/2016

zombies
“This is a story some economists like to tell . . .”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/06/05/this-is-a-story-some-economists-like-to-tell/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 06/05/2023

economics
Hey, here’s some free money for you! Just lend your name to this university and they’ll pay you $1000 for every article you publish!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/02/09/hey-heres-some-free-money-for-you-just-lend-your-name-to-these-universities-and-theyll-pay-you-1000-for-every-article-you-publish/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 02/09/2024

economics
Wolfram on Mandelbrot

http://andrewgelman.com/2013/04/01/wolfram-on-mandelbrot/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/01/2013

zombies
Hey—this is a new kind of spam!

http://andrewgelman.com/2014/07/11/hey-new-kind-spam/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 07/11/2014

zombies
This is what “power = .06” looks like (visualized by Art Owen).

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/09/07/this-is-what-power-06-looks-like-visualized-by-art-owen/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/07/2023

bayesian
Jonathan Bailey vs. Stephen Wolfram

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/03/22/jonathan-bailey-vs-stephen-wolfram/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 03/22/2024

zombies
This study could be just fine, or not. Maybe I’ll believe it if there’s an independent preregistered replication.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/02/19/this-study-could-be-just-fine-or-not-maybe-ill-believe-it-if-theres-an-independent-preregistered-replication/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 02/19/2020

economics
The good news is that the pound is collapsing so this particular publishing scam is not as expensive as you might think!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/01/07/the-good-news-is-that-the-pound-is-collapsing-so-its-not-as-expensive-as-you-might-think/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 01/07/2023

economics
There’s no need for you to read this one

http://andrewgelman.com/2014/02/16/theres-need-read-one/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 02/16/2014

zombies
This one goes in the Zombies category, for sure.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2019/08/02/this-one-goes-in-the-zombies-category-for-sure/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 08/02/2019

zombies
Hey! A new (to me) text message scam! Involving a barfing dog!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/02/21/hey-a-new-to-me-text-message-scam-involving-a-barfing-dog/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 02/21/2024

economics
This blog is like a Masterclass except the production values are close to zero, it’s free, and we don’t claim that reading it will make you better at anything.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/06/25/theres-a-sucker-born-every-minute-new-yorker-version/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 06/25/2022

zombies
Hey, this is what Michael Lacour should’ve done when they asked him for his data

http://andrewgelman.com/2015/06/29/hey-this-is-what-michael-lacour-shouldve-done-when-they-asked-him-for-his-data/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 06/29/2015

zombies
They want me to send them free material and pay for the privilege

http://andrewgelman.com/2013/07/02/19268/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 07/02/2013

economics zombies
Washington Post falls for that horrible air-rage study, and what gets me really angry about this

http://andrewgelman.com/2017/01/29/washington-post-falls-horrible-air-rage-study/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 01/29/2017

zombies
Here’s a sad post for you to start the new year. The Onion (ok, an Onion-affiliate site) is plagiarizing. For reals.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/01/01/the-onion-ok-an-onion-affiliate-site-is-plagiarizing/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 01/01/2024

analysis
Association for Psychological Science announces a new journal

http://andrewgelman.com/2014/04/01/american-psychological-society-announces-a-new-journal/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/01/2014

zombies
New competition: Pick a title for Niall Ferguson’s next book!

http://andrewgelman.com/2015/10/11/new-competition-pick-a-title-for-niall-fergusons-next-book/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/11/2015

zombies
“It’s not just that the emperor has no clothes, it’s more like the emperor has been standing in the public square for fifteen years screaming, I’m naked! I’m naked! Look at me! And the scientific establishment is like, Wow, what a beautiful outfit.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/01/31/its-not-just-that-the-emperor-has-no-clothes-its-more-like-the-emperor-has-been-standing-in-the-public-square-for-fifteen-years-screaming-im-naked-im-na/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 01/31/2020

zombies
The latest scientific fraud story: As is so often the case, people had been warning us about this guy for a long time but the people in charge weren’t listening.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/08/28/the-latest-scientific-fraud-story-as-is-so-often-the-case-people-had-been-warning-us-about-this-guy-for-a-long-time-but-the-people-in-charge-werent-listening/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 08/28/2022

zombies
The variation-ignoring junk science that’s promoted by the Association for Psychological Science and related academic celebrities. It’s like a poker player thinking: “okay, if push all in from the button I’ll win 3.6 big blinds each and every time.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/08/31/the-variation-ignoring-junk-science-thats-promoted-by-association-for-psychological-science-and-related-academic-celebrities-its-like-a-poker-player-thinking-okay-if-push-all/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 08/31/2023

zombies