Better priors for AR, ARX, LTX, DR, MA, ARMA, and VAR models

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2025-02-14

Summary:

We arXived last year a paper The ARR2 prior: flexible predictive prior definition for Bayesian auto-regressions” by David Kohns, Noa Kallionen, Yann McLatchie, and me (Aki). Last week, we uploaded a revised version. The idea of the paper is to … Continue reading

Link:

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/02/14/better-priors-for-ar-arx-ltx-dr-ma-arma-and-var-models/

From feeds:

Statistics and Visualization » Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Tags:

bayesian statistics stan

Authors:

Aki Vehtari

Date tagged:

02/14/2025, 07:38

Date published:

02/14/2025, 04:46