Zero Dark Thirty and Bayes’ theorem
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2013-03-15
Summary:
A moviegoing colleague writes: I just watched the movie Zero Dark Thirty about the hunt for Osama Bin Laden. What struck me about it was: (1) Bayes theorem underlies the whole movie; (2) CIA top brass do not know Bayes theorem (at least as portrayed in the movie). Obviously one does not need to know [...]