Can you write a program to determine the causal order?

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2013-04-13

Mike Zyphur writes:

Kaggle.com has launched a competition to determine what’s an effect and what’s a cause. They’ve got correlated variables, they’re deprived of context, and you’re asked to determine the causal order. $5,000 prizes.

I followed the link and the example they gave didn’t make much sense to me (the two variables were temperature and altitude of cities in Germany, and they said that altitude causes temperature). It has the feeling to me of one of those weird standardized tests we used to see sometimes in school, where there’s no real correct answer so the goal is to figure out what the test-writer wanted you to say.

Nonetheless, this might be of interest, so I’m passing it along to you.