Survey Statistics: Margin of Error
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2026-01-13
Summary:
What is a poll’s margin of error ? Let’s narrow the discussion (and the margins of error themselves) to MRP with Bayesian inference and simplifying assumptions: Estimate E(Y) via E(E(Y | X, sample)) with MRP using two steps: MR: Fit … Continue reading →