Stan’s Super Bowl prediction: Broncos 24, Panthers 13
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2016-02-09
Summary:
We ran the data through our model, not just the data from the past season but from the past 17 seasons (that’s what we could easily access) with a Gaussian process model to allow team abilities to vary over time. Because we’re modeling individual game outcomes, our model automatically controls for imbalances such as Carolina’s […]
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