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Input feed: Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Leave-one-out cross validation (LOO) for an astronomy problem

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/30/leave-one-out-cross-validation-loo-for-an-astronomy-problem/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/30/2024

analysis
What makes an MCMC sampler GPU-friendly?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/29/what-makes-an-mcmc-sampler-gpu-friendly/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/29/2024

bayesian
Props to the liberal anticommunists of the 1930s-1950s

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/29/props-to-the-liberal-anticommunists-of-the-1930s-1950s/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/29/2024

political
A question for Nate Cohn at the New York Times regarding a claim about adjusting polls using recalled past vote

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/28/a-polling-question-for-nate-cohn-at-the-new-york-times/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/28/2024

political
Freakonomics does it again (not in a good way). Jeez, these guys are credulous:

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/28/freakonomics-does-it-again-not-in-a-good-way-jeez-these-guys-are-credulous/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/28/2024

miscellaneous
NYT catches up to Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/27/nyt-catches-up-to-statistical-modeling-causal-inference-and-social-science/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/27/2024

health
“Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times”? Forking paths on the Appalachian Trail.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/27/reduce-likelihood-of-a-tick-bite-by-73-6-times-forking-paths-on-the-appalachian-trail/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/27/2024

health
This one might possibly be interesting.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/26/this-one-might-possibly-be-interesting/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/26/2024

literature
Prediction markets and the need for “dumb money” as well as “smart money”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/25/prediction-markets-and-the-need-for-dumb-money-as-well-as-smart-money/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/25/2024

analysis
Flatiron Institute hiring: postdocs, joint faculty, and permanent research positions

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/24/flatiron-institute-hiring-postdocs-joint-faculty-and-permanent-research-positions/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/24/2024

jobs
Postdoc opportunity! to work with me here at Columbia! on Bayesian workflow! for contamination models! With some wonderful collaborators!!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/24/postdoc-opportunity-to-work-with-me-here-at-columbia-on-bayesian-workflow-for-contamination-models-with-some-wonderful-collaborators/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/24/2024

bayesian
Which book should you read first, Active Statistics or Regression and Other Stories?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/23/which-book-should-you-read-first-active-statistics-or-regression-and-other-stories/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/23/2024

bayesian
ChatGPT o1-preview can code Stan

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/22/chatgpt-o1-preview-can-code-stan/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/22/2024

bayesian
3M misconduct regarding knowledge of “forever chemicals”: As is so often the case, the problem was in open sight for a long time before anything was done

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/22/3m-misconduct-regarding-knowledge-of-forever-chemicals-as-is-so-often-the-case-the-problem-was-in-open-sight-for-a-long-time-before-anything-was-done/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/22/2024

economics
Supporting Bayesian modeling workflows with iterative filtering for multiverse analysis

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/21/supporting-bayesian/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/21/2024

bayesian
What is the purpose of a methods section?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/20/what-is-the-purpose-of-a-methods-section/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/20/2024

literature
Carroll/Langer: Credulous, scientist-as-hero reporting from a podcaster who should know better

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/19/carroll-langer-credulous-scientist-as-hero-reporting-from-a-podcaster-who-should-know-better/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/19/2024

health
“It’s a very short jump from believing kale smoothies are a cure for cancer to denying the Holocaust happened.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/18/its-a-very-short-jump-from-believing-kale-smoothies-are-a-cure-for-cancer-to-denying-the-holocaust-happened/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/18/2024

miscellaneous
Columbia Surgery Prof Fake Data Update . . . (yes, he’s still being promoted on the university webpage)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/17/columbia-surgery-prof-fake-data-update-yes-hes-still-being-promoted-on-the-university-webpage/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/17/2024

zombies
Different perspectives on the claims in the paper, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/17/controversy-over-recently-honored-claims-in-the-paper-the-colonial-origins-of-comparative-development/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/17/2024

causal
Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for Goodwin GM, Aaronson ST, Alvarez O, et al. Single-Dose Psilocybin for a Treatment-Resistant Episode of Major Depression. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2206443.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/16/here-is-the-data-sharing-statement-in-its-entirety-for-goodwin-gm-aaronson-st-alvarez-o-et-al-single-dose-psilocybin-for-a-treatment-resistant-episode-of-major-depression-n-engl-j-med-doi-10/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/16/2024

analysis
Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for van Dyck CH, Swanson CJ, Aisen P, et al. Trial of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2212948.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/16/here-is-the/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/16/2024

analysis
“Things are Getting So Politically Polarized We Can’t Measure How Politically Polarized Things are Getting”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/15/things-are-getting-so-politically-polarized-we-cant-measure-how-politically-polarized-things-are-getting/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/15/2024

political
“Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/14/pitfalls-of-demographic-forecasts-of-us-elections/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/14/2024

political
Where have all the count words gone? In defense of “fewer” and “among”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/13/where-have-all-the-count-words-gone-in-defense-of-fewer-and-among/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 10/13/2024

zombies

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