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Input feed: Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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As a society, we are pretty good at transferring money to political pundits, but we’re not very good at nurturing the human capital they would need to correct their own mistakes.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/26/as-a-society-we-are-pretty-good-at-transferring-money-to-political-pundits-but-were-not-very-good-at-nurturing-the-human-capital-they-would-need-to-correct-their-own-mistakes/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/26/2026

zombies
Postdoc hiring season at Flatiron

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/25/postdoc-hiring-season-at-flatiron/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/25/2026

computing
They were trying to convince everybody to have 3 kids

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/25/53011/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/25/2026

political
It’s fine to use computer-generated survey responses—if you don’t care about the data anyway!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/24/junk-polls-and-junk-survey-research-they-go-together-so-well/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/24/2026

analysis
Here’s a causal inference problem: where did the estimate of $64 million come from in “Blake Lively Says She Suffered $64 Million Financial Fallout From Justin Baldoni Conflict . . .”?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/23/heres-a-causal-inference-problem-where-did-the-estimate-of-64-million-come-from-in-blake-lively-says-she-suffered-64-million-financial-fallout-from-justin-baldoni-conflict/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/23/2026

causal
Survey Statistics: Fat Bear Week 2026

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/22/survey-statistics-fat-bear-week-2026/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/22/2026

miscellaneous
“Phonics is a fad, but it’s also good, so we should do it anyway, even though it will probably disappoint people”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/22/phonics-is-a-fad-but-its-also-good-so-we-should-do-it-anyway-even-though-it-will-probably-disappoint-people/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/22/2026

analysis
Do high school students have to work harder nowadays?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/21/do-high-school-students-have-to-work-harder-nowadays/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/21/2026

sociology
How did it go, this prediction from ten years ago about Chinese fertility in 2026?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/20/how-did-it-go-this-prediction-from-ten-years-ago-about-chinese-fertility-in-2026/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/20/2026

sociology
The Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/19/the-immigration-and-nationality-act-of-1952/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/19/2026

political
Meritocracy to-morrow and meritocracy yesterday – but never meritocracy to-day

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/18/meritocracy-to-morrow-and-meritocracy-yesterday-but-never-meritocracy-to-day/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/18/2026

political
Scientific citations as an overwhelmed communication channel

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/17/scientific-citations-as-an-overwhelmed-communication-channel/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/17/2026

miscellaneous
It’s satisfying to see the economics profession come around on some things (regression discontinuity analysis and so-called risk aversion)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/16/its-satisfying-to-see-the-economics-profession-come-around-on-some-things-regression-discontinuity-analysis-and-so-called-risk-aversion/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/16/2026

analysis
Charting the Agentic Garden of Forking Paths

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/15/charting-the-agentic-garden-of-forking-paths/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/15/2026

artificial
Survey Statistics: ANOVA

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/15/survey-statistics-anova/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/15/2026

miscellaneous
“Protection from inappropriate influence is a hallmark of scientific integrity” . . . not any more!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/15/protection-from-inappropriate-influence-is-a-hallmark-of-scientific-integrity-not-any-more/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/15/2026

miscellaneous
The Washington Nationals are hiring!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/14/the-washington-nationals-are-hiring/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/14/2026

bayesian
New York City Psychometrics Group

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/14/new-york-city-psychometrics-group/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/14/2026

bayesian
This is how we do modern frequentist statistics: Using fake-data simulation to understand what can happen in a study

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/14/this-is-modern-frequentist-statistics-using-fake-data-simulation-to-understand/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/14/2026

bayesian
What’s happening with the models of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/13/whats-happening-with-the-models-of-the-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/13/2026

miscellaneous
Annals of hype: Did this discovery in 2012 mark “the discovery of the final laws of nature . . . a discontinuity in human intellectual history, the sharpest that has occurred since the beginning of modern science in the 17th century?”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/12/did-2012-mark-the-discovery-of-the-final-laws-of-nature-a-discontinuity-in-human-intellectual-history-the-sharpest-that-has-occurred-since-the-beginning-of-modern-science-in-the-17th-century/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/12/2026

miscellaneous
Why I don’t like highest posterior density (HPD) intervals

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/11/why-i-dont-like-highest-posterior-density-hpd-intervals/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/11/2026

bayesian
“Belief” is not something you have; rather, it’s a relationship between thought and action.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/11/belief-is-not-something-you-have-rather-its-a-relationship-between-thought-and-action/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/11/2026

bayesian
When journals are slow to implement or enforce policies to manage sloppy, majority AI-authored papers, reviewers can and should push back

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/10/when-journals-are-slow-to-implement-or-enforce-policies-to-manage-sloppy-majority-ai-authored-papers-reviewers-can-and-should-push-back/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/10/2026

artificial
Why I still like Orwell’s “Politics and the English Language” essay (even though he gets some of the linguistics wrong)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/09/10/why-i-still-like-orwells-politics-and-the-english-language-essay-even-though-he-gets-some-of-the-linguistics-wrong/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 09/10/2026

literature

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