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Input feed: Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Measurement error model Stan fitting struggle: The funnel again rears its ugly head

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/02/measurement-error-model-stan-fitting-struggle-the-funnel-again-rears-its-ugly-head/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/02/2025

bayesian
Anticipated good news if the economy goes downhill

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/01/anticipated-good-news-if-the-economy-goes-downhill/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/01/2025

economics
Here’s what’s happening with time-shifting of births.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/01/heres-whats-happening-with-time-shifting-of-births/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 05/01/2025

health
What is judgment and decision making (JDM)?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/30/jdm/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/30/2025

analysis
“They had it all but they wanted more”: Left-wing radicals in the 1960s and right-wingers now

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/29/they-had-it-all-but-they-wanted-more-left-wing-radicals-in-the-1960s-and-right-wingers-now/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/29/2025

analysis
Of plagues and chickens: How can someone be so skeptical in one place and so credulous somewhere else?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/29/of-plagues-and-chickens-how-can-someone-be-so-skeptical-in-one-place-and-so-credulous-somewhere-else/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/29/2025

zombies
Generalizing for Sampling and Causal Inference (my talk 3pm today at the University of Maryland)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/28/generalizing-for-sampling-and-causal-inference-my-talk-3pm-today-at-the-university-of-maryland/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/28/2025

bayesian
I don’t buy that claim that “eating whole foods and avoiding toxins” is a “horseshoe” alliance of the far left and far right

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/27/i-dont-buy-that-claim-that-eating-whole-foods-and-avoiding-toxins-is-a-horseshoe-alliance-of-the-far-left-and-far-right/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/27/2025

political
“Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rain”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/26/either-a-2-or-a-75-chance-of-rain/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/26/2025

analysis
The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/25/the-well-meaning-but-useless-or-counterproductive-social-science-establishment/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/25/2025

analysis
Let’s take apart this claim by Christopher Lasch from 1977 that hasn’t aged well: “Such changes have made both racist ideology and the ideology of martial conquest, appropriate to an earlier age of empire-building, increasingly anachronistic.”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/24/lasch/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/24/2025

political
“The difference between ‘significant’ and ‘not significant’ is not itself statistically significant” . . . in the wild!

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/23/the-difference-between-significant-and-not-significant-is-not-itself-statistically-significant-in-the-wild/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/23/2025

health
Friday 10am: Online conversation on “Experiments, Causal Inference, and Limits of Evidence” with Nancy Cartwright and Berna Devezer

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/23/friday-10am-online-conversation-on-experiments-causal-inference-and-limits-of-evidence-with-nancy-cartwright-and-berna-devezer/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/23/2025

causal
The Error-Reversal Heuristic: How would you have reacted had the mistake gone in the opposite direction?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/22/the-error-reversal-heuristic-how-would-you-have-reacted-had-the-error-gone-in-the-opposite-direction/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/22/2025

miscellaneous
New course this fall at Columbia: Laboratory in Justice Data Science

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/21/new-course-this-fall-at-columbia-laboratory-in-justice-data-science/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/21/2025

political
What day of the year will have the fewest noninduced births? (Difference between mathematical and statistical reasoning)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/21/what-day-of-the-year-will-have-the-fewest-noninduced-births-difference-between-mathematical-and-statistical-reasoning/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/21/2025

miscellaneous
Intergenerational socioeconomic mobility over time for different ethnic groups

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/20/intergenerational-socioeconomic-mobility-over-time-for-different-ethnic-groups/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/20/2025

economics
Buy your Tesla at closing time: For 15 years, these stocks have been mildly fluctuating during the day and shooting up overnight.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/19/for-15-years-tesla-stock-has-been-edging-down-during-the-day-and-shooting-up-overnight/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/19/2025

economics
Dumb statistical models, always making people look bad

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/18/dumb-statistical-models-always-making-people-look-bad/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/18/2025

analysis
Doxastic Logic: a model of beliefs

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/18/doxastic-logic-a-model-of-beliefs/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/18/2025

bayesian
What happened to genetic algorithms?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/17/what-happened-to-genetic-algorithms/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/17/2025

ai
Drowning in junk science: Is there any hope at all?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/17/drowning-in-junk-science-is-there-any-hope-at-all/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/17/2025

miscellaneous
A new journal just for publishing reanalyses of published empirical research findings

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/16/a-new-journal-just-for-publishing-reanalyses-of-published-empirical-research-findings/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/16/2025

miscellaneous
Did Non-Voters Really Flip Republican in 2024?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/16/did-non-voters-really-flip-republican-in-2024/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/16/2025

political
The hinge function provided “a tractable solution to an important and long standing problem in the field of fluvial geomorphology–the prediction of bedload sediment transport in rivers.” How cool is that?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/04/15/the-hinge-function-provided-a-tractable-solution-to-an-important-and-long-standing-problem-in-the-field-of-fluvial-geomorphology-the-prediction-of-bedload-sediment-transport-in-rivers-how-cool/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 04/15/2025

computing

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