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Input feed: Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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“Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/20/accounting-for-nonresponse-in-election-polls-total-margin-of-error/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/20/2024

bayesian
How did the press do on that “black spatula” story? Not so great.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/19/how-did-the-press-do-on-that-black-spatula-story/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/19/2024

miscellaneous
He took public funds and falsified his data. Are they gonna make him pay back the $19 million?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/18/are-they-gonna-make-him-pay-back-the-19-million/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/18/2024

miscellaneous
Applications of (Bayesian) variational inference?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/17/applications-of-bayesian-variational-inference/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/17/2024

bayesian
Iterative imputation and incoherent Gibbs sampling

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/17/iterative-imputation/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/17/2024

bayesian
“The Exceptions: Nancy Hopkins, MIT, and the Fight for Women in Science”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/16/the-exceptions-nancy-hopkins-mit-and-the-fight-for-women-in-science/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/16/2024

miscellaneous
The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/15/the-well-meaning-but-useless-or-counterproductive-social-science-establishment/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/15/2024

analysis
The Theory and Practice of Oligarchical Collectivism

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/15/the-theory-and-practice-of-oligarchical-collectivism/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/15/2024

analysis
The most interesting part of the story is that the publisher went through all these steps of reviewing and revising. If they just want to make money by publishing crap, why bother engaging outside reviewers at all?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/14/the-most-interesting-part-of-the-story-is-that-the-publisher-went-through-all-these-steps-of-reviewing-and-revising-if-they-just-want-to-make-money-by-publishing-crap-why-bother-engaging-outside-re/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/14/2024

economics
“How a simple math error sparked a panic about black plastic kitchen utensils”: Does it matter when an estimate is off by a factor of 10?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/13/how-a-simple-math-error-sparked-a-panic-about-black-plastic-kitchen-utensils/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/13/2024

analysis
It’s Harvard time, baby: “Kerfuffle” is what you call it when you completely botched your data but you don’t want to change your conclusions.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/12/harvard-lexicon-kerfuffle-is-what-you-call-it-when-you-completely-botched-your-data-but-you-dont-want-to-change-your-conclusions/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/12/2024

economics
Answering two questions, one about Bayesian post-selection inference and one about prior and posterior predictive checks

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/11/51447/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/11/2024

bayesian
Why am I willing to bet you $100-1000 there will be a Nobel Prize for Adaptive Experimentation in the next 40 years?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/10/why-am-i-willing-to-bet-you-100-1000-there-will-be-a-nobel-prize-for-adaptive-experimentation-in-the-next-40-years/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/10/2024

analysis
Postdoc position at Northwestern on evaluating AI/ML decision support

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/10/postdoc-position-at-northwestern-on-evaluating-ai-ml-decision-support/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/10/2024

analysis
Bias remaining after adjusting for pre-treatment variables. Also the challenges of learning through experimentation.

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/10/bias-remaining-after-adjusting-for-pre-treatment-variables-also-the-challenges-of-learning-through-experimentation/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/10/2024

causal
Close Reading Archive

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/09/close-reading-archive/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/09/2024

literature
“I work in a biology lab . . . My PI proposed a statistical test that I think is nonsense. . .”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/08/i-work-in-a-biology-lab-my-pi-proposed-a-statistical-test-that-i-think-is-nonsense/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/08/2024

miscellaneous
“Of course, this could conceivably be a case of near unbelievable luck: A flawed analysis based on wrong assumptions gave an unusually large causal effect estimate – but the misguided result just happened to be correct. We can imagine how the research team huddled nervously around the computer terminal biting their nails and silently praying as they executed their updated Stata code, only to erupt in joy and celebration as the results appeared on screen and revealed they were right all along. .

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/07/jpe/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/07/2024

causal
New Course: Prediction for (Individualized) Decision-making

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/06/new-course-prediction-for-individualized-decision-making/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/06/2024

analysis
Gayface Data Replicability Problems

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/06/gayface-data-replicability-problems/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/06/2024

sociology
Michael Clayton in NYC

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/05/michael-clayton-in-nyc/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/05/2024

health
Hey, journalist readers! Does anyone have a contact at NPR?

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/04/hey-journalist-readers-does-anyone-have-a-contact-at-npr/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/04/2024

sociology
Credit where due to NPR regarding science data fraud, and here’s how they can do even better

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/04/credit-where-due-to-npr-regarding-science-data-fraud-and-heres-how-they-can-do-even-better/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/04/2024

miscellaneous
4 different meanings of p-value (and how my thinking has changed)

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/03/4-different-meanings-of-p-value-and-how-my-thinking-has-changed-2/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/03/2024

miscellaneous
Toward a unified theory of bad science and bad scholarship

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/03/toward-a-unified-theory-of-bad-science-and-bad-scholarship/

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 12/03/2024

miscellaneous

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