Currie Cup Predictions for Round 8

Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Bulls 7.52 -0.48 8.00 Lions 5.41 -4.44 9.80 Cheetahs 5.26 6.37 -1.10 Sharks 2.91 0.96 2.00 Pumas -1.13 4.30 -5.40 Western Province -1.16 0.59 -1.70 Griquas -4.41 -2.59 -1.80 Griffons -24.39 -14.70 -9.70

Performance So Far

So far there have been 28 matches played, 18 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.3%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct 1 Pumas vs. Bulls Aug 17 24 – 40 -2.70 TRUE 2 Lions vs. Western Province Aug 17 41 – 22 8.00 TRUE 3 Cheetahs vs. Sharks Aug 18 20 – 25 8.30 FALSE 4 Griffons vs. Griquas Aug 18 7 – 59 -9.50 TRUE

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction 1 Bulls vs. Griquas Aug 24 Bulls 15.40 2 Western Province vs. Sharks Aug 24 Sharks -0.60 3 Cheetahs vs. Lions Aug 25 Cheetahs 3.40 4 Griffons vs. Pumas Aug 25 Pumas -19.80 The post Currie Cup Predictions for Round 8 first appeared on Stats Chat.