Top 14 Predictions for Round 1

Team Ratings for Round 1

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Stade Toulousain 8.76 8.76 -0.00 Toulon 5.32 5.32 0.00 Stade Rochelais 4.85 4.85 -0.00 Bordeaux Begles 3.96 3.96 0.00 Racing 92 2.75 2.75 -0.00 Stade Francais 1.86 1.86 -0.00 Section Paloise 1.38 1.38 -0.00 Clermont 0.41 0.41 0.00 Castres Olympique -0.09 -0.09 0.00 Lyon -0.18 -0.18 -0.00 USA Perpignan -0.66 -0.66 -0.00 Montpellier -0.96 -0.96 -0.00 Bayonne -1.69 -1.69 -0.00 Vannes -10.00 -10.00 0.00

 

Predictions for Round 1

Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction 1 Bayonne vs. USA Perpignan Sep 07 Bayonne 5.50 2 Castres Olympique vs. Racing 92 Sep 08 Castres Olympique 3.70 3 Clermont vs. Section Paloise Sep 08 Clermont 5.50 4 Montpellier vs. Lyon Sep 08 Montpellier 5.70 5 Bordeaux Begles vs. Stade Francais Sep 08 Bordeaux Begles 8.60 6 Stade Rochelais vs. Toulon Sep 09 Stade Rochelais 6.00 7 Vannes vs. Stade Toulousain Sep 09 Stade Toulousain -12.30

 

The post Top 14 Predictions for Round 1 first appeared on Stats Chat.