Currie Cup Predictions for the Currie Cup Final

Team Ratings for the Currie Cup Final

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Lions 11.04 -4.44 15.50 Bulls 5.94 -0.48 6.40 Sharks 5.65 0.96 4.70 Cheetahs 4.33 6.37 -2.00 Western Province -1.94 0.59 -2.50 Griquas -2.85 -2.59 -0.30 Pumas -4.16 4.30 -8.50 Griffons -28.01 -14.70 -13.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 42 matches played, 27 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.3%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct 1 Lions vs. Cheetahs Sep 14 43 – 34 10.60 TRUE 2 Bulls vs. Sharks Sep 15 40 – 40 5.00 FALSE

 

Predictions for the Currie Cup Final

Here are the predictions for the Currie Cup Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction 1 Lions vs. Sharks Sep 22 Lions 8.90

 

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