NRL Predictions for Round 1

Team Ratings for Round 1

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Storm 9.29 9.29 -0.00 Panthers 8.50 8.50 -0.00 Roosters 7.44 7.44 -0.00 Sharks 5.10 5.10 0.00 Cowboys 4.11 4.11 -0.00 Sea Eagles 2.97 2.97 -0.00 Bulldogs 0.07 0.07 -0.00 Knights -0.05 -0.05 -0.00 Warriors -1.68 -1.68 -0.00 Broncos -1.82 -1.82 -0.00 Dolphins -1.96 -1.96 -0.00 Eels -3.02 -3.02 -0.00 Raiders -3.61 -3.61 -0.00 Rabbitohs -4.35 -4.35 -0.00 Dragons -4.55 -4.55 0.00 Titans -5.50 -5.50 -0.00 Wests Tigers -10.97 -10.97 -0.00

 

Predictions for Round 1

Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction 1 Raiders vs. Warriors Mar 02 Warriors -1.90 2 Panthers vs. Sharks Mar 02 Panthers 3.40 3 Roosters vs. Broncos Mar 06 Roosters 12.30 4 Wests Tigers vs. Knights Mar 07 Knights -7.90 5 Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs Mar 07 Dolphins 5.40 6 Dragons vs. Bulldogs Mar 08 Bulldogs -1.60 7 Sea Eagles vs. Cowboys Mar 08 Sea Eagles 1.90 8 Storm vs. Eels Mar 09 Storm 15.30

 

The post NRL Predictions for Round 1 first appeared on Stats Chat.