Currie Cup Predictions for Round 1

Team Ratings for Round 1

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Lions 14.61 14.61 -0.00 Griquas 9.78 9.78 0.00 Pumas 5.36 5.36 -0.00 Bulls -2.24 -2.24 -0.00 Cheetahs -2.42 -2.42 0.00 Boland Cavaliers -4.25 -4.25 -0.00 Sharks -4.65 -4.65 0.00 Stormers -10.00 -10.00 0.00

 

Predictions for Round 1

Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction 1 Pumas vs. Sharks Jul 18 Pumas 13.00 2 Stormers vs. Griquas Jul 18 Griquas -16.80 3 Cheetahs vs. Lions Jul 19 Lions -14.00 4 Boland Cavaliers vs. Bulls Jul 20 Boland Cavaliers 1.00

 

The post Currie Cup Predictions for Round 1 first appeared on Stats Chat.