Tinder Bundles
West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more) 2025-01-21
From a commemoritve booklet produced for the community’s 125th birthday, Nov. 3, 2012.
Altadena is an unincorporated community of Los Angeles County, next to and within the foothills of the San Gabriel Mountains. It is bounded on three sides by wilderness (the Arroyo Seco, Angeles National Forest, and Eaton Canyon), and on the south by the city of Pasadena. Throughout its history and up until today, as Altadena celebrates its 125th year, this distinct geography has nurtured an independent spirit and given the community a close-to-nature feel. Citizens here have consistently resisted annexation to Pasadena (although that city has taken 46 “bites” of it over the years, seeking tax revenues), and voted down incorporating as a city. Altadenans prefer a looser political structure that still manages to foster an unmistakable identity.One essential aspect of the California wildfire story which almost no one from back East gets right and a disturbing number of local journalists fail to convey is the tremendous range in risk level from town to town and neighborhood to neighborhood. While smoke is a serious problem for almost all of the area, danger from fire itself is largely limited to wildland urban interfaces. Even within WUIs, the threat varies greatly. If you look up places like Paradise, Pacific Palisades, and Altadena, you will see that they were all tinder bundles, literally disasters waiting to happen. In some cases not waiting all that patiently. 10 years before the deadly Camp fire, residents of Paradise experienced two major evacuations from two different fires a month apart. In the aftermath of the Camp fire, NPR did an excellent story on the "next Paradise," which discussed a number of towns as or more vulnerable than that town had been before the conflagration. (In general, NPR has one of the better track records when it comes to Western wildfires.) There will be more Altadenas, perhaps very soon, but any discussion of how to address this crisis will have to be more accurate and nuanced than most of what we've been seeing.