Analysis of COVID-19 cases and associated ventilator requirement in Indian States | medRxiv preprints (not peer reviewed)

Type Journal Article Author V. Dhanya Author R. Anitha Author Ashwini Kumar Kishan Author S. R. Sumathi Author Amrit Roy URL https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.13.20153056v1 Rights © 2020, Posted by Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory. The copyright holder for this pre-print is the author. All rights reserved. The material may not be redistributed, re-used or adapted without the author's permission. Pages 2020.07.13.20153056 Publication medRxiv Date 15/07/2020 Extra Publisher: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press DOI 10.1101/2020.07.13.20153056 Library Catalog www.medrxiv.org Language en Abstract Analysis of COVID-19 cases and prediction of quantity of associated ventilator requirement is very relevant during this pandemic. This paper presents a method for predictive estimation of ventilator requirement for COVID-19 patients in Indian states. It uses ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model for predicting the future cumulative cases and daily fatality. Taking cue from this, ventilator requirement is estimated for each state. State wise estimation of ventilator is important because public healthcare system in India is managed at state level. Dataset on Novel Corona Disease 2019 in India from Kaggle website is used in this work.