Instability of win probability in election forecasts (with a little bit of R)
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 2024-09-19
Summary:
Recently we’ve been talking a lot about election forecasting: Election prediction markets: What happens next? Why are we making probabilistic election forecasts? (and why don’t we put so much effort into them?) What’s gonna happen between now and November 5? … Continue reading →